Bitcoin Price Risks Decline Below $80k As Fears Of ‘mstr Hit Job’...

Bitcoin faces downside risks as a bear flag breakdown targets $77,400, while tensions between Strategy and MSCI can add new pressure on the BTC price.

Bitcoin (BTC) is showing fresh downside risks as a deepening standoff between corporate Bitcoin holder Strategy (MSTR) and global index provider MSCI collides with a weakening technical structure.

BTC risks a slide toward $77.4K if the bear flag breaks down.

Strategy–MSCI tensions add institutional pressure to an already fragile setup.

As of Wednesday, Bitcoin has consolidated within a bear flag, a short-lived recovery that typically forms after a sharp sell-off and often resolves with a trend continuation.

The structure suggests sellers are regrouping rather than exiting positions, especially as BTC continues to trade below its declining 100-day and 200-day exponential moving averages.

A decisive breakdown below the flag’s lower trendline would confirm the bearish continuation setup, opening the door for a measured move toward the $77,400 level.

Conversely, BTC could invalidate the bearish outlook if its price breaks decisively above the 50-4H exponential moving average (50-4H EMA; the red wave) at around $88,655, as well as the flag’s upper trendline around $90,000.

Beyond technicals, Bitcoin’s downside could be triggered by growing uncertainty around Strategy, one of the largest corporate holders of BTC, as MSCI reviews whether to exclude companies whose digital assets account for a majority of their balance sheets.

MSCI’s pending decision, expected by Jan. 15, 2026, could introduce a fresh layer of institutional risk just as Bitcoin’s price structure weakens, according to CryptoQuant author GugaOnChain.

Source: CoinTelegraph