New BTC Price Analysis: Bitcoin Could Crash Another 50% 2025

Bitcoin’s first monthly MACD rollover this cycle, alongside onchain data, raised the odds of a deeper pullback, as BTC price forecasts now include the mid-$60,000s.

Bitcoin (BTC) sellers are getting increasingly louder as several more bearish signals have emerged for this week.

Bitcoin’s monthly MACD rollover keeps risks skewed toward further downside.

MVRV bands suggest BTC may still fall toward key mean-reversion levels.

In October, Bitcoin’s monthly moving average convergence divergence (MACD) crossed into bearish territory for the first time in the current bull market.

Since 2014, the monthly MACD has flipped red on five separate occasions. In four of those cases, as trader Brett highlighted, Bitcoin went on to record drawdowns of about 50% before finding the floor.

Only once, in 2019, did the signal align closely with a market bottom, and even then, the price continued falling for two months after the initial crossover.

Since the October MACD crossover, Bitcoin declined by about 35%. The indicator suggested room for an additional 25% dip by January 2026, placing BTC’s next key downside target near the $62,200 level.

That is near the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA) support target of previous bear markets at around $66,300.

A similar risk zone appeared on long-term trend charts shared by veteran trader Peter Brandt.

Source: CoinTelegraph